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[leadbelly]

fished the incoming morning tide mid river as I have done since Sunday, again today.  Got 5, had three follow my jig right to the surface lol.   

slower than yesterday, hardly saw any risers, pretty quiet as was last evenings incoming tide, almost no risers seen

[Aurora]

Fished mid river on Thursday.  Not as many risers as in previous days.  Started fishing mid morning until about 11.  Managed to hook one and tried to pass off my rod to a kid close to me.  He had a chance to play it for a few seconds then it got off.  Nothing else for me though.  Need a magic jig.

btw...  Any one other than Rodney fished Richmond or Mission lately?  How about a report?

[RalphH]

I was out for the 1st time in this cycle. Had much the same experience. Took one home. Had many of the tap tap tap takes Rod mentioned. These could also have been small pike minnow or even the weight on my line bouncing off rocks. It was shallow near shore. While some people did relatively well most did more or less like me or worse. I was testing some home made lures and had no proven spinners or spoons along so my result wasn't unexpected. One worked!

This has so far been a unusual cycle. First the prediction of a massive record cycle, which is invariably incorrect. Started earlier and slowed down quickly. Could it already be over? I'll be interested to see what the PSC weekly report says. I wouldn't be surprised if the forecast is set below 10 million.

photographic evidence:

[wildmanyeah]

I thought I remeber reading in 2023 that a good portion of the pink return was from above hope as most of the population below was hit hard by the floods.

Wonder if that’s true for this year as well

[fic]

1 Million swam past Mission yesterday based on Hydroacoustics-based.  Sockeye Decreased to 61900 from 200K the day before.  Looks like counters are being hit by mostly pinks now.

[RalphH]

I thought I remeber reading in 2023 that a good portion of the pink return was from above hope as most of the population below was hit hard by the floods.

Wonder if that’s true for this year as well

as I recall:

Historically the biggest segments of the Fraser pink run are:

1) the Fraser between Chilliwack and Hope
2) Interior streams mainly the Thompson (and tributaries) and Seaton
3) the Harrison - which is the largest run for a single stream or river

the Fraser and Harrison pinks did not seem to be much affected by the Nov 2021 floods.

other runs like the Chilliwack are relatively small. It seemed to me the 2023 return was noticeably lower and I wondered if it should have been set to no fishing or c&r

[RalphH]

1 Million swam past Mission yesterday based on Hydroacoustics-based.  Sockeye Decreased to 61900 from 200K the day before.  Looks like counters are being hit by mostly pinks now.

I fished at Mission and the river was by no means alive with  pinks. Most other people commented how much better the fishing was the previous 2 days.

At 4.5 million it suggests the run is approaching the 50% mark. Remains to be seen what happens on local rivers that are open or if the whole season may just fizzle out after the weekend.

[fic]

https://www.psc.org/publications/fraser-panel-in-season-information/fraser-river-panel-information-package/ 

Aug 29th update.

In season adjusted to 12,500,000 which is preliminary until approved.

[wildmanyeah]

Seems fishy to me...I went back 30 years and there was not a pink run that came in this early this large.

I still wonder if the sockeye/pink ratio is correct and % is more sockeye then they estimate.

all armchair of course

if pinks they did dna for pinks there would be more answers guess will see when they hit the spawning grounds

I also looked at the average run timing and it lasts about 10 days so if this run is early the lower fraser fishery could be over in the next 5 days.

[fic]

The modelling is showing 12.5 Million Pinks for the Time being, but that'll change if either the marine tests spike again or the steady stream of fish keep moving passing Mission in large numbers.  Either way, this year will be record setting in certain ways.

[RalphH]

That a pre-season big forecast is dashed by actual returns yet people think there will be some last minute turnaround has happen before.  It is almost Sept and by now they have a good idea how many fish have come through the marine approaches and possibly what number is waiting in area 29.  A big late recovery is not likely.

[tfishy]

There were a few big schools that came by Richmond area today.  Lost quite a few. 

August 29 Weekly Report PSC
Fraser River Pink Salmon
Like delaying Late run stocks, pink salmon delay their upstream migration into the Fraser River. At the moment,
around 5,000,000 pink salmon are estimated to be present in the Strait of Georgia. In the last few days there has
been a substantial increase in the abundance of pink salmon entering the Fraser River and this has been reflected by
the very large daily pink salmon estimates observed at the Mission site, approximately 1,000,000 a day for the last
three days. The estimated escapement of pink salmon past Mission through August 28 is 4,524,700. This is the earliest
upstream migration of large abundances of pink salmon since enumeration at the Mission site commenced in 2011.
The pre-season median (p50) forecast for Fraser River pink salmon was 27,000,000 (12,600,000 at the p10, up to
57,900,000 at the p90). At Tuesday’s meeting the Panel reduced the run size to 12,500,000 with an associated Area 20 timing of August 13.
This is the earliest timing for pink salmon on record but is in line with the timing observed in
the past 5 return years (15-20 August). It continues the recent trend towards earlier pink timing given that the longterm median timing is August 28. The earlier migration timing of pink salmon results in an increased overlap in
sockeye and pink salmon migration through marine areas, complicating fisheries access to harvestable surplus of
pink salmon while limiting bycatch of Late run sockeye.

https://www.psc.org/download/723/2025/19366/august-29-2025-2.pdf

[leadbelly]

saw very few fish mid river this morning, almost no jumpers or risers other than sturgeon

nets out as well

one guy got two pinks after tying himself the jig I had been using all week, we named it the copy cat killer

[Fish Assassin]

Fished mid river on Thursday.  Not as many risers as in previous days.  Started fishing mid morning until about 11.  Managed to hook one and tried to pass off my rod to a kid close to me.  He had a chance to play it for a few seconds then it got off.  Nothing else for me though.  Need a magic jig.

btw...  Any one other than Rodney fished Richmond or Mission lately?  How about a report?

Still producing limits if you know what you're doing.

[MetalAndFeathers]

Seems fishy to me...I went back 30 years and there was not a pink run that came in this early this large.

I still wonder if the sockeye/pink ratio is correct and % is more sockeye then they estimate.

all armchair of course

if pinks they did dna for pinks there would be more answers guess will see when they hit the spawning grounds

I also looked at the average run timing and it lasts about 10 days so if this run is early the lower fraser fishery could be over in the next 5 days.

Has an entire run of any salmon or steelhead ever arrived late or early? I’ve heard people say they’re late when the run is simply just poor. Never seen a rivers entire run shift though