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Author Topic: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices  (Read 174657 times)

wildmanyeah

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #375 on: August 23, 2018, 08:45:48 PM »

Adams looks like they may be no shows and that would be devastating they were expecting about 7 million late run mostly made up of adams.

Early and Summers look to be about what they predicted

The catches in area 20 and 12 should be larger and they should be composed mostly of late run adams at this point. Well that's at least what happened in 2010 and 2014
« Last Edit: August 23, 2018, 08:50:06 PM by wildmanyeah »
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CohoJake

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #376 on: August 23, 2018, 09:28:03 PM »

I'm withholding judgment - this year far more of the fish are diverting around the outside of the island - a longer route to swim.  Give them time to show up.
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mikeyman

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #377 on: August 23, 2018, 09:56:13 PM »

A big black blob of sockeye still on the way so heard. Everything always late. Late is the new normal. Lots of fish out of the mouth. Been getting limits every trip.
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BBarley

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #378 on: August 23, 2018, 11:16:20 PM »

So the current diversion rate is set at roughly 75/25 with the majority taking WCVi. Presuming test nets hold steady in areas 12/13, we should see a massive surge in late run fish in the area 20 nets sometime soon. Assuming the worst, and the numbers never materialize, then what? The TAC gets shredded and all fisheries close immediately?

Has the Adams run ever no showed before? Why would they choose WCVI?
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andrew5

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #379 on: August 24, 2018, 10:20:47 AM »

my guess is that the WCVI diversion has something to do with water temps. i seem to recall something about "the Blob" of warm water moving recently, which may have altered their migration pattern or the food source. Thoughts?
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avid angler

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #380 on: August 24, 2018, 01:30:40 PM »

The Adams run got very badly over fished 4 years ago. I wouldn’t doubt that they no show.
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cdjk123

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #381 on: August 24, 2018, 02:21:28 PM »

I was out near hope yesterday, and my friend and I were catching fish we suspected to be Adams fish. I've found they tend to be a little bigger, and fight a little more. This is totally unscientific, but that was out suspicion.
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Hike_and_fish

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #382 on: August 24, 2018, 03:02:16 PM »

I was out near hope yesterday, and my friend and I were catching fish we suspected to be Adams fish. I've found they tend to be a little bigger, and fight a little more. This is totally unscientific, but that was out suspicion.

They are in there no doubt. But are they in the millions. Who knows that this point.
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rjs

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #383 on: August 24, 2018, 11:11:47 PM »

is the old orchard boat launch open... or is it still closed ?

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Hike_and_fish

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #384 on: August 25, 2018, 05:49:41 AM »

DFO must think they're late now. With the 4 openings ( 3 salt and 1 FN ) to intercept Fraser stocks this weekend.a few days ago they put a hold on one. Now it's a go.
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BBarley

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #385 on: August 25, 2018, 08:53:56 AM »

Honestly, I don’t think DFO/PSC has a clue at this point. You can bet they are hoping they are late/diverting around WCVI and suddenly flood the area 20 test nets. They’ve allowed the decimation of most salmon runs on the Fraser, what’s another. Glass half full is the numbers no longer allow a sport opening/commercial opening and the stocks are allowed to rebuild and the cancer that is the lining fishery every 4 years finally goes the way of Blockbuster Video.

Cottonwood/Whonnock was loaded yesterday so that’s encouraging for the weekend.
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RalphH

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #386 on: August 25, 2018, 09:05:53 PM »

dfo does smolt sampling in the lower river so they have an idea what went out in spring 2016 and that is what the return models are built on. In 2014 the adult return was strong in the first half of Sept and as I remember the commercial and FN net fisheries were shut to preserve interior Fraser coho.
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"Two things are infinite, the Universe and human stupidity... though I am not completely sure about the Universe" ...Einstein as related to F.S. Perls.

Jk47

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #387 on: August 26, 2018, 08:59:36 AM »

The two bars we fished this morning were VERY slow
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andrew5

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #388 on: August 26, 2018, 10:46:38 AM »

any other reports on the bars today? Saturday was pretty hot. when was the last FN / Commercial opening in the river?
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tfishy

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Re: 2018 Fraser River Sockeye Notices
« Reply #389 on: August 26, 2018, 11:28:08 AM »

Last commercial opening was Aug 21.  FN opening on the lower fraser was yesterday.  Next FN opening for Monday and following meeting late Monday expect a commercial opening announcement.
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