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[fic]

Just wanted to add that the Area 20 Seine catch July 15th to date is a whopping 6 pinks. Gillnet is 284 since July 10.

Area 20 Purse Seine starts July 25th according to.

https://www.psc.org/publications/fraser-panel-in-season-information/test-fishing-results/

[RalphH]

my apologies. PSC report page for this years links to last year

https://www.psc.org/TestFish/Area20_1PSsummary.PDF

[fic]

First Area 20 Seine Net of the season yesterday resulted in 257 pinks caught.  It's looking good the Fraser and Puget Sound Area so far compared to 2 years ago.

In 2023, from 22nd to the 25th this is was the result.

28
62
70
50

[RalphH]

so that's 257 in one day vs 210 in 4 days in 2023.

On the basis of that I think it is more than justified to quadruple the forecast to 108 million pinks to the Fraser this year! YEE HAW!

[RalphH]

Worth noting that Washington State is forecasting 7.75 million pinks for Puget Sound (mostly the Green and Nisqually Rivers), 7.78 million for the Skagit and over 300k for the Nooksack, all also based on fry counts in the spring of '24.

[Easywater]

https://wdfw.wa.gov/newsroom/news-release/washington-salmon-fishing-seasons-tentatively-set-2025-2026

The 2025 Puget Sound pink salmon forecast is 7.76 million — up 70% from the 10-year cycle average — and predicted to be the third largest total return on record (up from a 2023 forecast of 3.95 million and an actual return of 7.22 million). The Green and Nisqually rivers are expected to have strong pink returns. In southern British Columbia, the Fraser River pink forecast is 27 million.

[RalphH]

https://wdfw.wa.gov/newsroom/news-release/washington-salmon-fishing-seasons-tentatively-set-2025-2026

The 2025 Puget Sound pink salmon forecast is 7.76 million — up 70% from the 10-year cycle average — and predicted to be the third largest total return on record (up from a 2023 forecast of 3.95 million and an actual return of 7.22 million). The Green and Nisqually rivers are expected to have strong pink returns. In southern British Columbia, the Fraser River pink forecast is 27 million.

a little more info there including the Puget Sound forecast for this year is very close to what the actual return was in 2023. It's also an example how inaccurate the pre-season forecasts can be.

2015 through 2023 saw comparatively lower returns than the previous 10 or 20 years so hopefully things are moving to a higher cycle period that saw more large returns ie 10 to 20 million to the Fraser.